Scenario Research

As we try to begin our research, we try to give each person freedom to research the possible future scenario. I try to start my research by trying to think about the past event which causing peoples a major catastrophe. Moreover, I found out that the global event that causing a fatal damage in the human history is the world war. Therefore, I try to research World War 1 and World War 2 and create theses diagrams:

The trigger of this event is Austria who considers themselves as a superior country and they tried to give independence to the Bosnia (which is owned by Russia). Furthermore, this event keep escalating and causing other countries to take part. However, the war stops since both sides realize that there are too many casualties and create a Versailles treaty (Peace treaty) which forces German to pay war fees.

The Second World War was started because of German do not like that they are forced to pay the war fees and have confidence that they can become a superior country which can conquer world. Furthermore, Japan also constrained by crisis which caused by the Industrial Revolution and causing inflation in their currency. Therefore, both country starts to expand their territory and declaring war to the world. However, the war ended by the defeat of German by Moscow and Nuclear Bomb which destroyed Japan.

After the research I found a several factors those causing wars, which are Greed, Resources Problem, Nationalist, and Territory Problem. Furthermore, I tried to link all of these factors to the present issues.

The diagram show the possibility of near future war since the symptoms of each factor already occurred. Therefore, I predict that within 50 to 100 years from now world war 3 will happen as shown in the diagram below:

My prediction of world war 3 is that the world will be split into two large blocks and there are only few who neutral. The cause of the war will be all of the factors (Greed, Resources Problem, Territory Problem, and Nationalist). The war will not only cause many casualties but also drained all of the resources especially oil. Furthermore, the war will end as soon as both blocks realized that the casualties of the war is too many and they don`t have any resources which will be made as weapon.

In the end the government and economy of the world will collapse and there will be no boundary of each country. The world before which divided into countries will become one in the end. There will be no country and everyone will start from small community.

Picture Taken From:  http://images1.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20120201061924/althistory/images/a/a2/B-384157-group_of_people-1-.jpg

Therefore, people will only think to survive and to do that they will need each other. Furthermore, this will be the start of a new system of community.